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5% Hispanic turnout?

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Well, that's what the Pew crosstabs said today in their little poll.

Oh, that and that there would be more far more people to vote who make $75K a year than who make between $30 and $75K.

And if you think that the likely voter breakdown November 6 will be around 36% Republican, 33% Democrat, and 31% other/Independent, then The Pew has your poll.

If you haven't seen Pew's crosstabs, I suggest you look at them.  This is the way their poll came out.

It's a poll where white women for Romney are leading white women for Obama by +19.

It's a poll where women overall are voting for Romney and Obama in equal numbers.

I can theorize why they were willing to run with a poll that is likely about +6 in Romney's direction, easily: in August, they went with a poll that was likely +6 in Obama's direction, and some on the right, notably Fox, complained.

Pew is a nonpartisan place, but that doesn't mean it's not looking out for itself.  This one came out like the bad call of an umpire who was trying to even up a previous bad call.  That's the way they're nonpartisan.  Not through their polling methods--which, in a word, suck, and certainly spin like a weathervane.

Of course, the later in the game, the more such calls matter.  Doesn't bother Pew.  But what was really depressing was to hear PBS run with a poll that should have been weighed in but also ignored as their lead story for six hours today.


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